SPS

Ecology & Environment

Solar Production Schedule Calculator

Project annual and lifetime solar production, final-year output, avoided electricity value, maintenance cost, net value, and a lifetime generation comparison across the selected horizon.

Year-1 production (kWh/year)-
Production in final modeled year (kWh/year)-
Cumulative modeled production (kWh)-
Year-1 avoided electricity value-
Annual avoided-value growth after degradation-
Cumulative gross avoided value-
Entered maintenance through horizon-
Avoided value minus entered maintenance-
Lifetime production minus comparison (kWh)-

Decision view

Annual and cumulative solar production

Annual and cumulative solar productionAnnual degrading output and cumulative delivered energy share the exact entered planning horizon.
Exact scenario comparisonAnnual production degradation (%) changes while all other entered assumptions remain constant.
Annual production degradation (%)Year-1 production (kWh/year)Production in final modeled year (kWh/year)Cumulative modeled production (kWh)Year-1 avoided electricity valueAnnual avoided-value growth after degradationCumulative gross avoided valueEntered maintenance through horizonAvoided value minus entered maintenanceLifetime production minus comparison (kWh)

Period-by-period detail

Annual solar production and value schedule

Production degradation and electricity-value escalation are applied independently for every year.

How to use Solar Production Schedule Calculator

  1. Enter DC system size and year-one specific yield.
  2. Enter annual degradation, horizon, and electricity-value escalation.
  3. Enter annual maintenance and a lifetime generation comparison.
  4. Review both annual production area and cumulative generation curve.

Calculator guide

Understanding Solar Production Schedule Calculator

Solar production typically declines slowly while the value of each kilowatt-hour can escalate. This calculator keeps physical generation, electricity value, maintenance, and the comparison target on separate schedules.

Energy first Size times yield sets year one.
Output degrades Each year retains 99.5% by default.
Value compounds separately Price escalation acts on each year's energy.
Cumulative is auditable Annual rows sum to lifetime totals.

Calculation method

How the calculation works

Project year-one generation from installed size and specific yield, degrade production annually, escalate electricity value separately, and tabulate annual and cumulative quantities. Multiply system size by year-one specific yield, apply compound annual degradation to production, apply price escalation separately, and sum both geometric schedules.

Detailed calculation process

Project degrading production and escalating avoided value

The defaults model an 8.5 kW system yielding 1,350 kWh/kW in year one, with 0.5% annual degradation over 25 years.

General formula: E_1 = PK; E_y = E_1(1-d)^(y-1); E_L = E_1[1-(1-d)^n]/d; v_y = v_1[(1-d)(1+g)]^(y-1); V_L = sum(v_y)-nM Installed power times specific yield gives year-one energy. Each later year retains one minus the degradation rate. Energy value compounds both the production retention factor and the electricity-price escalation factor.

What each symbol means

P, K Installed DC size (kW) and year-one specific yield (kWh/kW).
d, g Annual degradation and electricity-value escalation as decimal fractions.
n, y Planning horizon and schedule year (years).
E_1, E_y, E_L Year-one, year-y, and lifetime production (kWh).
p_1, v_y Year-one value per kWh and annual avoided value (currency).
M, V_L Annual maintenance and lifetime net modeled value (currency).

Worked substitution with the default inputs

1. Calculate year-one production: E_1 = 8.5 kW * 1,350 kWh/kW = 11,475 kWh The kW units cancel from specific yield, leaving annual energy.
2. Project final-year production: E_25 = 11,475*(1-0.005)^24 = 10,174.349 kWh Year one has no degradation exponent; year 25 has 24 annual steps.
3. Sum lifetime generation: E_L = 11,475[1-0.995^25]/0.005 = 270,304.542 kWh This is the finite geometric-series sum of all 25 annual outputs.
4. Combine value growth correctly: v_1 = 11,475*$0.18 = $2,065.50; growth = 0.995*1.02-1 = 1.49%/year Price escalation and degradation multiply; their percentages are not simply subtracted.
5. Check lifetime value: Gross avoided value = $62,017.098; maintenance = 25*$180 = $4,500; net = $57,517.098 Lifetime generation is 10,304.542 kWh above the entered 260,000 kWh comparison.

The default system produces about 270,304.5 kWh over 25 years and $57,517.1 of modeled net avoided value after entered maintenance.

Production outlook

Separate annual decline from cumulative delivery

The area chart shows annual kWh while a cumulative curve answers the lifetime question.

Annual area Degradation changes yearly output.
Cumulative curve Delivered energy can only increase.
Comparison line The entered lifetime reference remains visible.
Value schedule Energy price and maintenance stay in the table.

Worked situations

Practical examples

  • Year-one production is 11,475 kWh.
  • Year-25 production is about 10,174.349 kWh.
  • Lifetime production exceeds the entered comparison by 10,304.542 kWh.

Better inputs

Useful tips

  • Use a site-specific modeled or measured year-one yield.
  • Keep degradation and tariff escalation as separate assumptions.
  • Test inverter replacement and variable maintenance outside this fixed annual allowance.

Before relying on the result

Limitations and common mistakes

  • Weather, shading, clipping, curtailment, soiling, outages, and component replacement are not simulated.
  • Export compensation and retail offset can value identical energy differently.
  • The monetary result excludes financing, taxes, incentives, discounting, and residual value.

Reference

Key terms

Specific yield
Annual energy per installed kW.
Degradation
Modeled annual fractional reduction in output.
Avoided value
Electricity purchase value displaced by modeled generation.

Important note

Calculated from the entered environmental values using the displayed model. Measurement quality, local conditions, system boundaries, and source data affect interpretation.

Frequently asked questions

Why is the year-25 exponent 24?

Year one is the starting value, so only the 24 transitions after it apply degradation.

Why is net value still growing when production declines?

The default 2% price escalation is larger than the 0.5% degradation effect.

Is specific yield panel efficiency?

No. It is annual AC energy per installed DC kW under stated conditions.

Is this discounted cash flow?

No. The total is undiscounted and uses a fixed annual maintenance input.